While median sales prices varied quite a bit from area to area, they stayed relatively stable with most communities posting either modest gains or slight declines compared to this time last year.  Low inventory is keeping us in what you might call a “flat” seller’s market…supply is low but prices aren’t appreciating as fast as we would normally see.  That being said, if rates float down—and experts believe they will—we could see another frenzy of bidding wars as buyers compete for the few homes on the market.  If you’re considering purchasing a home (even if you need to sell yours first), our advice is to get out there and start shopping while you can pick and choose at relatively reasonable prices…

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Seattle  |  Eastside  |  Mercer Island  |  Condos  |  Waterfront

SEATTLE

The Seattle residential market showed resilience in Q3 of 2023. While the $894,000 median sales price was down 3% from last year, 60% of sellers fetched sales at or above their list price and 58% sold within the first 10 days. The city saw 2,321 new listings, a 23% reduction from the previous year. This is healthy, for now, with decreased demand due to rising interest rates. When rate pricing eases—and it will according to experts—the lower inventory will be sure to send prices through the roof. NOW IS THE TIME!

Diving deeper into communities, Queen Anne, with its blend of historic charm and modernity, saw a 1% rise in median sales prices to $1,349,000. Kenmore and Lake Forest Park have also held their own—60% of homes sold within the first ten days and both median sales prices and cost-per-square-foot went up 2% over last year. North Seattle remains a strong contender in the market, with 68% of homes selling at or above the list price. West Seattle, with its coastal vibe, saw a remarkable 72% of homes sell at or above the listing price.

The data underscores Seattle’s diverse and dynamic housing landscape, where different communities cater to varied tastes, yet all show promise and potential. Overall, Seattle’s housing market is marching on, optimistically steady, backed by strong analytical data and historically low unemployment.

Click here for the full report and neighborhood-by-neighborhood statistics!

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EASTSIDE

The Eastside showed steady growth in Q3. With a notable 5% year-over-year rise in home values, the median sales price landed at a respectable $1,460,000. Interestingly, cost per square foot ($625) showed virtually no YOY change. Sellers saw a close alignment with their expectations, as the average list price to sale price for all properties stood at 99%. Furthermore, 58% of homes sold at or above their listing price, a testament to the region’s enduring demand.

Diving deeper, most communities remained fairly stable with modest year-over-year increases. Redmond, Mercer Island and Newcastle/North Renton saw slight declines. The star of the Eastside was West Bellevue, posting 23% more sales than Q3 of last year, a median sales price hike of 14%, and the highest cost-per-square-foot in the region (even after a 14% drop from last year). While overall sales were down about 13% across the region, this was counterbalanced by a 20% drop in new listings keeping the Eastside in a flat seller’s market for the foreseeable future.

Our conclusion? The Eastside’s market remains robust and versatile. Buyers and sellers both need to be savvy, understanding both their micro-markets and the broader trends. For sellers, strategic pricing and presentation remain king! Our advice to buyers: don’t sleep on this market, it will turn fast when interest rates float downward and inventory will not be able to keep up with demand.

Click here for the full report and neighborhood-by-neighborhood statistics!

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MERCER ISLAND

While Mercer Island’s Q3 median sales price of $2,368,000 was still down slightly compared to Q3 of last year, prices have been trending upward since the beginning of the year. Furthermore, the average price-per-square-foot in Q3 was actually up 6% over last year. More than half of homes sold at or above their list prices (53%) and in 10 days or less (57%)—this is right on par with what we saw in Q3 of 2022. Buyers found room to negotiate on the remaining listings and were able to add contingencies for things like inspections and financing.

We saw a boost in sales compared to last year’s initial interest rate shock, despite a lower number of new listings. This has kept the Island in a flat seller’s market much like we saw in 2018. That being said, Mercer Island homes are taking longer to sell than we saw last year—the average total number of days properties spent on the market before receiving an offer went from 18 days in Q3 2022 to 30 days by Q3 2023. Buyers, perhaps more hesitant due to higher interest rates, are being careful to pick and choose before leaping into a contract.

Overall, the Mercer Island real estate market has remained fairly steady with some signs of growth. While median prices are still down from their spike during the post-COVID frenzy, we should start seeing year-over-year gains if this year’s upward trend continues. For prospective buyers, the landscape offers an opportunity to negotiate favorable deals on those properties that don’t sell right away. For sellers, astute pricing and marketing strategies will continue to win the day.

Click here for the full report and neighborhood-by-neighborhood statistics!

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CONDOS – SEATTLE & EASTSIDE

The PNW condo market showed steady growth in Q3 of 2023, with year-over-year median sales prices up by 6% in both Seattle and The Eastside. Overall activity was subdued, however, with a drop in the number of new condo listings corresponding with fewer sales.

When dissecting Seattle’s condo statistics, Shoreline, Lake Forest Park and Kenmore saw the biggest price gains with a whopping 39% rise in median sales price compared to last year. Ballard and Green Lake also saw big gains with median sales price up 25%. Conversely, Shoreline experienced a stark 59% drop in sales and 40% drop in median sales prices, indicating possible shifts in buyer preferences toward the more convenient city center. While Downtown condo sales prices were also down slightly, their shimmering skylines still fetched a premium at $825 per square foot.

The Eastside condo market varied from area to area. Kirkland’s condo sales surged by 18%, with an impressive 43% increase in median sale price. Redmond also shone brightly with a 45% spike in median sale prices. Mercer Island stood out, with its 43% increase in the number of sales and 31% rise in median sale price showcasing its luxury market segment. Conversely, West Bellevue, East Bellevue, and East Lake Sammamish all posted lower year-over-year median sales prices—down -20%, -%12% and -7% respectively.

The juxtaposition of these two markets, and really the neighborhood specific swings within them, highlights the unique characteristics and demands of each, underscoring the need for prospective buyers and sellers to strategize based on specific community data. All the more reason to consult a condo pro!

Check out area-by-area details the full condo report.

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WATERFRONT

Seattle once again commanded the highest number of private waterfront sales with 9 total—4 of these sold in 4 days or less, including 2 hot Beach Drive listings in West Seattle that sold above their asking prices.  Lake Sammamish was close behind with 8 sales including one that sold immediately (and marked the most affordable waterfront sale at $1.62 million). Mercer Island boasted the highest waterfront sale of the quarter, a stunning North End estate on 120 feet of waterfront that went for $24.4 million. The Eastside held its own with 6 sales and the second highest sale of the quarter—$12 million—for a half-acre Yarrow Point estate on 105 feet of prime west-facing waterfront.

This brief overview of the entire Seattle-Eastside private waterfront market, including Mercer Island and Lake Sammamish, illustrates the trends occurring in our region over time. This data is interesting and insightful but cannot replace an in-depth waterfront analysis with your trusted professional.

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© Copyright 2023, Windermere Real Estate/Mercer Island. Information and statistics derived from Northwest Multiple Listing Service and Trendgraphix, and deemed accurate but not guaranteed. Seattle cover photo courtesy of Codi Nelson and HD Estates. Eastside cover photo courtesy of Team RAREnorthwest and Elevato Photography. Condo cover photo courtesy of Jessica Livingston and im3rd Media. Waterfront cover photo courtesy of Anni Zilz and Clarity Northwest Photography.

While median sales prices rose in Q2 compared to Q1, they were still down about 10% from last summer’s peak. Most areas saw fewer new listings and sales this year than we saw last year. Supply levels are still low enough to keep us technically in a seller’s market — our Windermere Chief Economist, Matthew Gardner, predicted this will continue, saying, “with relatively few homes on the market and the share of homes with price reductions dropping and list prices rising again, I just can’t see a buyer’s market appearing this year.”

Click or scroll down to find your area report:

Seattle  |  Eastside  |  Mercer Island  |  Condos  |  Waterfront

SEATTLE

The Seattle market felt a similar adjustment as the Eastside with home prices down about 10% across the board. This spring market had a 27% drop in supply which limited the overall sales. The median closed sales price of $900,000 is up from May’s $830,000, but down 10% year over year offering some relief to buyers feeling the squeeze of high interest rates.

Last quarter, we mentioned keeping an eye on North Seattle and the growth we’ve seen in Shoreline, Lake Forest Park and Kenmore likely due to transit and those seeking affordability. Interestingly, 80% of the Lake Forest Park and Kenmore homes sold at or above their list price (in comparison to Queen Anne at 62%, for example) with prices rising 14% since last quarter but down 19% year over year.

Q2 closed with 879 active residential homes on the market, but no real sense of urgency from buyers (although the average days on market was 20 compared to the Eastside’s 23 days). The presentation of a home coupled with a smart pricing strategy equates to a positive outcome for sellers — we can see this in the 42% of homes that experienced multiple offers with an average boost of 6% over list price. With that said, 26% of Seattle contracts experienced a price negotiation between parties, so if you’re a motivated buyer and write an offer, you could benefit from more traditional contract terms.

Click here for the full report and neighborhood-by-neighborhood statistics!

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EASTSIDE

The Eastside residential market adjusted significantly this quarter. With a median price of $1,450,000 across all neighborhoods, this is an adjustment of 10% compared to last year. West Bellevue real estate, a luxury market, took the largest adjustment of 16%, down to an average of $996 per square foot. Market times were also slightly longer with 66% of homes selling within the first 10 days; the other 34% of homes had to be more patient in finding their buyer. This means that it took an average of 23 days for a seller to sell their property compared to 7 days at this time last year. However, this is much improved from 52 days in Q1!

Just like Redmond’s condos, its single family residential supply numbers were down 43%—but offered more supply than this time last year. Overall, there were 40% fewer listings than in Q2 of last year. With just 645 active homes available at the end of this quarter and rates closing out ~6.75%, low supply and high interest rates have kept sales stagnant. This time last year, there were 1,105 homes available for sale and rates had just moved across the 5% level.

It’s very true that sales are still happening and price and presentation from the seller matter most. On the Eastside, 39% of homes sold above their list price at an average of 5% over. Many buyers have adjusted their budget with the higher rates and seem motivated to get into the market now when the right home is found. If you can afford the payment, take the leap as a buyer. Sellers are motivated to accept more traditional terms, and you may not be competing amongst others.

Click here for the full report and neighborhood-by-neighborhood statistics!

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MERCER ISLAND

Much like other Eastside neighborhoods, Mercer Island made a significant adjustment in price—but one area of difference is that supply has remained steady. The south end offered the largest number of sold homes with 20, followed by 16 sold homes mid-island and 12 sold homes on the north end. Mid-island pricing continues to be smack in the middle with an average median sales price of $2,249,000; 75% of mid-island homes sold at or above their listing price, evidence that the desirability of being tucked away from freeway and amenities while still accessible to all is very appealing. Overall, island pricing has adjusted by 19% year over year to a median of $2.2 million compared to $2.7 million this same time last year.

There are currently 36 active homes on the market at the end of this quarter, which is identical to our supply level Q2 last year! This is up slightly from 39 active homes at the end of last quarter. The island is also feeling the pause in demand and urgency and that’s evident in the days on market numbers. Average days on market was 31 this quarter; it only took 7 days to sell your home this time last year. The inventory of homes for sale continues to be unique and striking, and a great pricing strategy equates to both happy seller and happy buyer.

Click here for the full report and neighborhood-by-neighborhood statistics!

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CONDOS – SEATTLE & EASTSIDE

For first time homebuyers, condos are still a fantastic starter purchase, whether you want to invest, live in the city or in a more suburban environment. We didn’t experience the same urgency with condo buyers this Spring likely because of interest rates, the fear of tech layoffs, or the transition from remote work to office work.

Year over year, neighborhoods like West Seattle, North Seattle, Queen Anne and Ballard saw strong price gains while South Seattle and Capitol Hill took a 20% median price adjustment. While it’s tough to find a direct correlation for neighborhoods tracking significantly different than others, the price gains are likely due to supply issues in these popular neighborhoods. On the flip side, price adjustments could be a sign that sellers had higher expectations of price before correcting to a normal level with a reduction or negotiation. There were 565 units available at the close of the quarter, down from 605 active units at the close of Q2 last year. Sellers are likely staying put for now, or they are investors with a low interest rate mortgage. Lake Forest Park and Shoreline condos triumphed over others with 81 percent of the 16 total condos selling at or above their list price; 70% of these units sold within the first week.

On the eastside, East Bellevue and East of Lake Sammamish had rising median prices with an average increase of 6% year over year, while other eastside neighborhoods adjusted downward. Redmond condo supply was down 41 percent! Again, this number reflects sellers staying put and with current interest rates hovering around 6.5% today, there may not be a suitable option for them to consider “trading up” to a larger unit or a single family home. With lack of supply and high rates, total sales are stagnant.

Check out area-by-area details the full condo report.

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WATERFRONT

Most of the waterfront sales this quarter happened in Seattle with 14 sold homes compared to 6 sold homes last quarter. Just two Mercer Island waterfront properties, located on the north end, sold this quarter (the same number of sales as last quarter!) one with significant competition selling $750,000 above its listing price in just four days. In regard to eastside waterfront homes, while there was just seven sales (also the same number of sold homes as Q1 this year), four of those homes sold in five days or less including a $14m waterfront property on Hunts Point.

This brief overview of the entire Seattle-Eastside private waterfront market, including Mercer Island and Lake Sammamish, illustrates the trends occurring in our region over time. This data is interesting and insightful but cannot replace an in-depth waterfront analysis with your trusted professional.

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© Copyright 2023, Windermere Real Estate/Mercer Island. Information and statistics derived from Northwest Multiple Listing Service and Trendgraphix, and deemed accurate but not guaranteed. Mercer Island cover photo courtesy of Cynthia Schoonmaker and Clarity Northwest Photography. Eastside cover photo courtesy of Joe Liu and Clarity Northwest Photography. Condo cover photo courtesy of Team RAREnorthwest and Elevato Photography.

The first quarter of 2023 saw a price correction compared to last year’s spike, with year-over-year median prices down by 9% in Seattle and 14% on the Eastside.  That being said, prices are already beginning to climb again with steady growth since the beginning of the year.  Buyer demand remains strong despite higher interest rates—competitively priced, well-presented homes are still fetching multiple offers.

Click or scroll down to find your area report:

Seattle  |  Eastside  |  Mercer Island  |  Condos  |  Waterfront

SEATTLE

For those who purchased a home in Seattle this quarter, it likely felt like there were more options and inventory with a minor rebalance on price. While transactions were down 28% year over year, we also saw median sales price was down from $925,000 to $830,000 since last quarter, which is a 9% adjustment. A down correction in pricing gave relief to buyers feeling the pinch and stress of rising interest rates to 6.5%. Rates have doubled the past 1.5 years but, considering the limited supply of homes for sale, the drop in home prices hasn’t been severe.

Neighborhoods like Lake Forest Park saw growth in their number of transactions (up 15%); other neighborhoods like Madison Park and Capitol Hill had nearly half the homes for sale compared to last year. It’s no surprise that as interest rates rise and affordability changes, buyers are casting a wider net to other parts of Seattle to the north. Keep an eye on neighborhoods like Shoreline, Kenmore and Lake Forest Park. Desirable prices paired with accessible transit is a bonus for those who are being asked to return to the office.

Multiple offers are apparent in some neighborhoods (price & presentation is key!) and we did experience 30% of homes sell above their listing price. If the shortage of inventory remains and interest rates drop slightly, we could see the frequency of multiple offers increase.

Click here for the full report and neighborhood-by-neighborhood statistics!

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EASTSIDE

The Eastside was struck by job layoffs in the tech sector, rising interest rates and new property listings (28% more homes than last quarter!) but pending sales remained low compared to the previous year. Transaction volume was much like Seattle’s, with a decline of 22%. Mercer Island was the only community that stayed steady (no increase) in the number of transactions year over year.

Interestingly, while prices are down to a median of $1,400,000 year over year, this is a slight 2% increase from last quarter’s median of $1,380,000. 20% of the properties on the Eastside also sold above their listing price (most of these homes were in Bellevue) while sellers needed a shift in expectations with a whopping 58% of homes needing a price improvement to find their buyer. The list price vs. sold price percentage was 97% which means if you were a seller who listed your home at $1,000,000, you would expect to sell for $970,000 this quarter. Again, price and presentation matter and 41% of sellers who did this well sold in the first 10 days.

Buyers who are shopping for homes on the Eastside continue to be hyper focused on the school districts, turn-key properties and are serious about locking in their interest rate now, with the hopes of refinancing later this year when economists predict rates could decrease. If rates drop below 5.5% coupled with low inventory levels, we could see the frequency of multiple offers increase.

Click here for the full report and neighborhood-by-neighborhood statistics!

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MERCER ISLAND

Even though there were just 39 residential transactions on Mercer Island this quarter, that number has stayed perfectly steady year over year. Over half of these homes sold in the first 10 days on the market, which is no surprise as demand has stayed robust.

13% of listings sold above their listing price, but this wasn’t concentrated on a certain community; four homes located on First Hill, Mid-Island plus the South & North Ends respectively, each received multiple offers this quarter. Q1 of 2022 saw a median price of $2,540,000 with just one home listed under $1,500,000. This quarter, the median price is $2,233,000 (a 12% decline) while six homes sold under $1,500,000! Due to the decline in prices and a slower start to the year, many sellers needed a shift in expectations with a whopping 67% of homes needing a price improvement to find their buyer.

We haven’t seen the number of new listings in the double-digit figures since Q2 of 2022, and it’s very possible we won’t experience that same level of inventory this year. Baby boomers are holding onto their homes with the benefit of their remarkably low 2.75% interest rate, and families are staying put to finish out the school year.

Our advice still stands: if you’re thinking about waiting for lower rates AND lower prices, you might be dreaming. Enjoy the fantastic Island inventory now, lock in your rate and consider refinancing later this year or next spring when economists predict rates will shift down.

Click here for the full report and neighborhood-by-neighborhood statistics!

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CONDOS – SEATTLE & EASTSIDE

Seeing first time homebuyers come back to the market or considering an investment? Buying a condo in Seattle or on the Eastside is a fantastic opportunity, especially as many companies are calling their employees back to the office at least 3 days per week. It’s very possible transaction volume will be up next quarter, but for now, transactions were down 44% year over year. With that said, 465 units sold in Seattle; 347 units sold on the Eastside which isn’t all doom and gloom.

Just like North Seattle is heating up with residential sales, Lake Forest Park, Shoreline, Ballard and North Seattle condos outpace the rest of Seattle, up 10% on average. These areas are experiencing new construction townhomes that are especially desirable to first time homebuyers. Boutique builders are offering a trendy design palette (have you seen the Scandinavian-style design with light woods and sleek finishes?) paired with all the “bells and whistles” that city dwellers appreciate, like dog washing stations, artificial turf, and EV chargers.

For the Eastside, Redmond condos stayed the steadiest, down just 17% year or year. Kirkland was the only neighborhood to experience a price bump, up 11% to a median price of $693,000.

The Seattle condo median price has declined just 1% year over year to $515,000, while the Eastside experienced a 12% adjustment to $550,000. This is a $530,000 average when comparing both areas. With interest rates doubling the past 1.5 years and buyers considering a condo unit under the umbrella of a condo association, shoppers will be very particular about their monthly dues assessment and what’s included for those monies as both interest rates and dues have such a dominant effect on their overall buying power. Condos continue to be a necessary niche in our marketplace!

Check out area-by-area details the full condo report.

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WATERFRONT

There were 17 privately-owned waterfront home sales in the greater Seattle-Eastside region in Q1 2023 (Eastside-7; Seattle-6; Lake Sammamish-2; Mercer Island-2). This is exactly on par with last year, when we also saw 17 sales in Q1 2022.

The highest sale was for a Medina Northwest Contemporary on 115 feet of low-bank waterfront that sold above list price for $20m. The most affordable waterfront was a unique triplex with 1920-1930 era beach cottages on a private boardwalk near the Ballard Locks—a buyer snagged it below list price for $1.9m.

This brief overview of the entire Seattle-Eastside private waterfront market, including Mercer Island and Lake Sammamish, illustrates the trends occurring in our region over time. This data is interesting and insightful but cannot replace an in-depth waterfront analysis with your trusted professional.

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© Copyright 2023, Windermere Real Estate/Mercer Island. Information and statistics derived from Northwest Multiple Listing Service and Trendgraphix, and deemed accurate but not guaranteed. Mercer Island cover photo courtesy of Petra Varney and Clarity Northwest Photography.